Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 17

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Capozza (Casarano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Casarano		Latina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.3	4.05
	1.89	3.28	4.3
	1.72	3.46	4.58	Watch
	1.85	3	4
	1.83	3.16	4.19	Watch
	1.88	3.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.88)	3.23 ↓ (3.36)	4.22 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casarano
49.9%

Draw
28.4%

Latina
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

27.3%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

22.3%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Latina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casarano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Latina than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Latina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Casarano - Latina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bacchin F. (G) 4. Lulic K. 24. Gega E. 29. Gyamfi B. 77. Cajazzo I. 23. Logoluso G. 17. Maiello R. 20. Pinto G. 11. Ferrara V. 10. Chirico C. 90. Zanaboni E.	67. Mastrantonio D. (G) 6. Calabrese B. 32. Parodi G. 13. Marenco F. 3. Porro M. 21. Hergheligiu D. 30. De Ciancio R. 2. Ercolano E. 20. Fasan N. 77. Pannitteri O. 97. Parigi G.
Substitutes
26. Barone A. 35. Cerbone S. 22. Chiorra N. (G) 8. D'Alena A. 80. Di Dio F. 19. Guastamacchia A. 30. Malagnino D. 15. Milicevic M. 21. Millico V. 7. Palumbo F. 18. Perez L. 12. Pucci D. (G)	1. Basti M. (G) 17. Catasus D. 19. Di Giovannantonio G. 18. Dutu E. 7. Ekuban J. 23. Farneti G. 14. Gagliano L. 22. Iosa A. (G) 11. Pace F. 5. Pellitteri A. 80. Quieto D. 28. Regonesi I. 4. Scravaglieri M. 27. Vona A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Chirico C. ⚽,
30', De Ciancio R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Ercolano E. ↓, Pace F. ↑,
60', Pannitteri O. ↓, Gagliano L. ↑,
64', Zanaboni E. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
73', Ferrara V. ↓, D'Alena A. ↑,
73', Hergheligiu D. ↓, Pellitteri A. ↑,
73', Parigi G. ↓, Ekuban J. ↑,
78', Chirico C. 🟨,
83', Fasan N. ↓, Quieto D. ↑,
87', Pinto G. ↓, Di Dio F. ↑,
87', Chirico C. ↓, Millico V. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Gagliano L. ⚽,
90+5', Lulic K. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Recent performances by Casarano have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Latina is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Latina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Casarano might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
30.11.25	Potenza - Casarano	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Giugliano - Casarano	1:3 ✺
15.11.25	Casarano - Catania	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Nuova Cosenza - Casarano	4:1 ✺
01.11.25	Casarano - Monopoli	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWLL
- US Latina Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
30.11.25	Latina - Audace Cerignola	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
26.11.25	Arezzo - Latina	0:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
23.11.25	Catania - Latina	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Latina - Nuova Cosenza	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Siracusa - Latina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 LWLLL

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