Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Nuova Cosenza		Casarano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.45	4.05
	1.88	3.63	3.88
	1.82	3.49	4	Watch
	2	3	3.4
	1.82	3.54	4.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.81)	3.42 ↓ (3.5)	3.92 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
49.6%

Draw
26.9%

Casarano
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

26.2%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

25.9%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Casarano aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Nuova Cosenza - Casarano Predictions

Users Predictions: Nuova Cosenza will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pompei T. (G) 45. Ciotti P. 3. Moretti A. 17. Caporale A. 33. Ferrara A. 37. Palmieri R. 19. Contiliano N. 77. Langella C. 34. Florenzi A. (C) 90. Emmausso M. 30. Mazzocchi S.	1. Bacchin F. (G) 34. Negro S. 5. Celiento D. 33. Mercadante M. 3. Giraudo F. 27. Versienti L. 17. Maiello R. 10. Chirico C. 11. Ferrara V. 46. Leonetti V. 9. Grandolfo F.
Substitutes
23. Achour S. 20. Baez J. 27. Ba R. 9. Beretta G. 7. Cannavo K. 5. Contiero L. 11. D'Orazio T. 10. Garritano L. 39. Kourfalidis C. 18. Perlingieri M. 6. Pintus N. 40. Vannucchi T. (G) 22. Vettorel T. (G)	25. Bachini M. 35. Cerbone S. 22. Chiorra N. (G) 8. D'Alena A. 80. Di Dio F. 98. Ferilli M. (G) 24. Gega E. 29. Gyamfi B. 23. Logoluso G. 4. Lulic K. 7. Palumbo F. 6. Patrignani G. 18. Perez L. 16. Santarcangelo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Mazzocchi S. ⚽,
40', Ferrara V. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Leonetti V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
54', 1 - 2, Versienti L. ⚽,
56', Florenzi A. 🟨,
59', Emmausso M. ↓, Ba R. ↑,
60', Palmieri R. ↓, Cannavo K. ↑,
68', Contiliano N. ↓, Baez J. ↑,
70', Versienti L. ↓, D'Alena A. ↑,
73', 1 - 3, Celiento D. ⚽,
79', Leonetti V. ↓, Cerbone S. ↑,
79', Ferrara V. ↓, Lulic K. ↑,
79', Ciotti P. ↓, Achour S. ↑,
79', Florenzi A. ↓, Beretta G. ↑,
80', Maiello R. 🟨,
81', 1 - 4, Cerbone S. ⚽,
84', Celiento D. ↓, Gyamfi B. ↑,
84', Grandolfo F. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 5, Chirico C. ⚽,

Preview

In case of a draw home team advances.

Cosenza has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Casarano is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Casarano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cosenza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cosenza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Cosenza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie C Group C
26.04.26	Cavese - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Nuova Cosenza - Trapani	1:0 ✺
13.04.26	Picerno - Nuova Cosenza	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Nuova Cosenza - Foggia	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Benevento - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLWT
- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
03.05.26	Monopoli - Casarano	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
26.04.26	Altamura - Casarano	0:4 ✺
19.04.26	Casarano - Crotone	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Latina - Casarano	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Casarano - Potenza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
14.03.26	Casarano - Nuova Cosenza	2:1
08.11.25	Nuova Cosenza - Casarano	4:1

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