Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 15

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Angelo Massimino (Catania)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia
World	Onefootball


	Catania		Latina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.38	4.15	7.9
	1.30	4.86	9.68	Watch
	1.38	3.85	8.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.3)	4.29 ↓ (4.86)	8.69 ↓ (9.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catania
68%

Draw
21.5%

Latina
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.3%

19.1%

9.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.3%

18.1%

9.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Latina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Catania, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Latina than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Catania - Latina Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Catania will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Catania (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Dini A. (G) 6. Allegretto A. 15. Di Gennaro M. 3. Celli A. 24. Casasola T. 30. Corbari A. 14. Di Tacchio F. 20. Donnarumma D. 23. Lunetta G. 10. Cicerelli E. 32. Forte F.	1. Basti M. (G) 32. Parodi G. 13. Marenco F. 6. Calabrese B. 2. Ercolano E. 30. De Ciancio R. 21. Hergheligiu D. 10. Riccardi A. 3. Porro M. 97. Parigi G. 19. Di Giovannantonio G.
Substitutes
1. Bethers K. (G) 18. Caturano S. 12. Coco L. (G) 99. D'Ausilio M. 28. Doni S. 37. Forti C. 7. Jimenez K. 21. Quiroz G. 9. Rolfini A. 11. Stoppa M.	66. De Marchi D. 7. Ekuban J. 23. Farneti G. 20. Fasan N. 14. Gagliano L. 22. Iosa A. (G) 67. Mastrantonio D. (G) 11. Pace F. 77. Pannitteri O. 5. Pellitteri A. 80. Quieto D. 28. Regonesi I. 4. Scravaglieri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Porro M. 🟨,
7', Cicerelli E. ↓, Jimenez K. ↑,
9', 1 - 0, Forte F. ⚽,
35', Marenco F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', De Ciancio R. 🟨,
62', De Ciancio R. ↓, Pellitteri A. ↑,
62', Porro M. ↓, Pannitteri O. ↑,
67', Pellitteri A. 🟨,
67', Lunetta G. ↓, D'Ausilio M. ↑,
67', Forte F. ↓, Caturano S. ↑,
72', Di Giovannantonio G. ↓, Gagliano L. ↑,
76', Allegretto A. 🟨,
81', 🟨,
81', Riccardi A. ↓, Fasan N. ↑,
82', Ercolano E. ↓, Quieto D. ↑,
90', Jimenez K. ↓, Stoppa M. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catania won 2.

Catania is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Latina's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Catania is the clear favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Catania won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Catania won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
15.11.25	Casarano - Catania	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Catania - Altamura	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	Casertana - Catania	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Catania - Benevento	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Catania - Salernitana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWTWW
- US Latina Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
15.11.25	Latina - Nuova Cosenza	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Siracusa - Latina	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Latina - Salernitana	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
30.10.25	Latina - Perugia	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
26.10.25	Sorrento - Latina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
08.03.25	Latina - Catania	1:4
27.10.24	Catania - Latina	0:1
14.02.24	Latina - Catania	1:0
08.10.23	Catania - Latina	1:1
10.04.22	Catania - Latina	Canceled
05.12.21	Latina - Catania	1:0
Italian Serie B
19.04.15	Latina - Catania	1:2

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