Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 14

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Capozza (Casarano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
World	Onefootball


	Casarano		Catania

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	3.7	3.15	1.98
	3.88	3.1	2.06
	3.90	3.49	1.87	Watch
	3.73	3.05	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↓ (3.9)	3.2 ↓ (3.49)	1.97 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casarano
24.3%

Draw
28.9%

Catania
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

26.6%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

27%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Casarano - Catania Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Catania (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Catania (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Catania (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bacchin F. (G) 20. Pinto G. 4. Lulic K. 24. Gega E. 77. Cajazzo I. 17. Maiello R. 23. Logoluso G. 29. Gyamfi B. 10. Chirico C. 18. Perez L. (C) 11. Ferrara V.	57. Dini A. (G) 73. Pieraccini S. 15. Di Gennaro M. 3. Celli A. 24. Casasola T. 16. Quaini A. 14. Di Tacchio F. (C) 20. Donnarumma D. 23. Lunetta G. 10. Cicerelli E. 18. Caturano S.
Substitutes
26. Barone A. 35. Cerbone S. 22. Chiorra N. (G) 8. D'Alena A. 80. Di Dio F. 19. Guastamacchia A. 30. Malagnino D. 9. Malcore G. 15. Milicevic M. 21. Millico V. 7. Palumbo F. 12. Pucci D. (G) 90. Zanaboni E.	6. Allegretto A. 1. Bethers K. (G) 30. Corbari A. 99. D'Ausilio M. 28. Doni S. 32. Forte F. 37. Forti C. 7. Jimenez K. 21. Quiroz G. 9. Rolfini A. 11. Stoppa M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Cajazzo I. ⚽,
15', Lunetta G. 🟨,
21', Pinto G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lunetta G. ↓, Rolfini A. ↑,
46', Pinto G. ↓, Di Dio F. ↑,
55', Ferrara V. ↓, D'Alena A. ↑,
58', Di Gennaro M. 🟨,
61', Caturano S. ↓, Forte F. ↑,
62', Di Tacchio F. ↓, Corbari A. ↑,
66', Quaini A. 🟨,
68', Gega E. 🟨,
70', Cicerelli E. ↓, D'Ausilio M. ↑,
76', Maiello R. ↓, Guastamacchia A. ↑,
77', Donnarumma D. ↓, Stoppa M. ↑,
83', Di Dio F. 🟨,
87', Rolfini A. 🟨,
87', Logoluso G. 🟨,
90+1', Chirico C. ↓, Millico V. ↑,
90+1', Perez L. ↓, Zanaboni E. ↑,
90+4', Celli A. 🟨,
90+8', Zanaboni E. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Casarano has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Catania is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Casarano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Catania will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Catania will win today's game, with odds of 1.95.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
08.11.25	Nuova Cosenza - Casarano	4:1 ✺
01.11.25	Casarano - Monopoli	1:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Audace Cerignola - Casarano	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
25.10.25	Siracusa - Casarano	4:1 ✺
18.10.25	Casarano - Foggia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
09.11.25	Catania - Altamura	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	Casertana - Catania	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Catania - Benevento	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Catania - Salernitana	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Giugliano - Catania	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTWWW

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