The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Casarano 53.4%
Draw 26%
Molfetta 20.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.2%
27.9%
16.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.5%
26.8%
16.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casarano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Molfetta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molfetta than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out)).
Casarano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Molfetta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Casarano is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Casarano to win the game is with odds 1.7.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Casarano won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Casarano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
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