The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Casatese 41.3%
Draw 28.5%
Brusaporto 30.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
29.5%
30.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.6%
29%
30.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Brusaporto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casatese than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brusaporto than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Casatese - Brusaporto Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
82', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casatese won 1.
Casatese is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Brusaporto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Casatese will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Casatese won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Casatese won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Brusaporto
6
3
0
3
7:8
-1
9
Last Results with these Odds
Casatese - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 39.92%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.