Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 31

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Varesina		Chievo

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.45	1.78
	4.33	3.48	1.72
	3.96	3.52	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↓ (4.12)	3.48 ↑ (3.47)	1.74 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varesina
22.2%

Draw
25.9%

Chievo
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

26.2%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

25.9%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varesina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Chievo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Varesina - Chievo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Paloschi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).

Varesina has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chievo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Varesina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chievo is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Varesina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Varesina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chievo	6	5	0	1	14:6	8	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Varesina
Italian Serie D - Group B
02.04.26	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Varesina	4:1 ✺
28.03.26	Varesina - Leon	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Casatese - Varesina	0:1 ✺
18.03.26	Varesina - Castellanzese	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Pavia - Varesina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWTT
- AC Chievo
Italian Serie D - Group B
02.04.26	Chievo - Vogherese	4:1 ✺
29.03.26	Brusaporto - Chievo	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Chievo - Villa Valle	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Real Calepina - Chievo	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Chievo - Sondrio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
30.11.25	Chievo - Varesina	1:2
29.01.25	Varesina - Chievo	2:3
02.10.24	Chievo - Varesina	2:5

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