The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Casatese 49.4%
Draw 27.9%
Pavia 22.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.8%
28.2%
23%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48%
27.7%
23.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Pavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casatese than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Casatese - Pavia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
Casatese has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Pavia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Casatese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Casatese is a strong favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Casatese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.