Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 27

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Villa Valle		Pavia

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.35	4.05
	1.77	3.4	4.02
	1.77	3.51	4.09	Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.2
	1.8	3.65	4.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.84)	3.4 ↓ (3.43)	4.11 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Valle
51.2%

Draw
26.7%

Pavia
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

26.5%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

27.2%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Pavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Valle than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavia than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Villa Valle - Pavia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Villa Valle is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Villa Valle won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Villa Valle	6	1	4	1	6:6	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Villa Valle
Italian Serie D - Group B
01.03.26	Leon - Villa Valle	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Villa Valle - Vogherese	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Castellanzese - Villa Valle	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Villa Valle - Scanzorosciate	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Varesina - Villa Valle	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLTL
- Pavia Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
01.03.26	Pavia - Varesina	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Pavia - Brusaporto	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Folgore Caratese - Pavia	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Pavia - Real Calepina	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Breno - Pavia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
02.11.25	Pavia - Villa Valle	4:0

Villa Valle - Pavia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide