The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sondrio 21.3%
Draw 25.3%
Casatese 53.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23%
25.7%
51.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.6%
25.3%
52.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sondrio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Casatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sondrio than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casatese than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Sondrio - Casatese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 2 - 1, ⚽,
75', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Recently, Sondrio has had a series of away games.
In this match, Casatese is the team to beat.
The teams have not played against each other recently.