Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 10

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana)

Referee: Sanchez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
World	Disney+


	Castellón		Levante

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.1
	2.2	3.5	3	Watch
	2.25	3.63	3.23
	2.2	3.56	3.17
	2.19	3.75	3.05	Watch
	2.2	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.7)	3.53 ↑ (3.14)	3.11 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
43.1%

Draw
26.6%

Levante
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

29.8%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

30.1%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castellón's performance.

Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Levante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castellón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levante than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Levante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.9%	3.2%	12.9%

Castellón - Levante Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 26 - 83.9%). Levante will win (votes: 4 - 12.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 71% – 96.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Crettaz G. (G) 22. Chirino D. 5. Jimenez A. 15. Willems J. 8. Mamah K. 7. Moyita S. 14. Gil O. 6. van den Belt T. 10. Sanchez R. 11. Aurelio D. 9. de Miguel J.	1. Fernandez A. (G) 2. Garcia A. 5. Elgezabal U. 4. Dela 34. Cortina B. 6. Kochorashvili G. 20. Rey O. 24. Alvarez C. 23. Martinez P. 38. Espi C. 11. Morales J. L.
Substitutes
13. Abedzadeh A. (G) 27. Albert J. 12. Bosilj D. 23. Calavera J. 16. Cipenga B. 17. Ruiz S. 30. Schwake B. (G) 20. Seuntjens M. 4. Suero I. 46. Suner P. M. 33. Vertrouwd J. 19. Villahermosa D.	27. Alcaniz E. 17. Clemente O. 12. Fabricio 30. Fernandez V. 21. Lozano S. 29. Navarro M. 9. Romero I. 26. Selles D. 36. Vacas A. P. (G) 31. Xavi Grande
Coaches
Schreuder D.	Calero J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Sanchez R. ⚽, Calatrava A. (A),
62', Calatrava A. 🟨,
63', Romero I. ↓, Fabricio ↑,
68', Villahermosa D. ↓, van den Belt T. ↑,
68', Seuntjens M. ↓, Moyita S. ↑,
69', Calavera J. ↓, Aurelio D. ↑,
72', Navarro M. 🟨,
74', Chirino D. 🟨,
77', 2 - 0, Sanchez R. ⚽,
78', Morales J. L. ↓, Espi C. ↑,
78', Kochorashvili G. ↓, Clemente O. ↑,
78', Navarro M. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
86', Chirino D. ↓, Ruiz S. ↑,
90', Suero I. ↓, Bosilj D. ↑,
90+2', Rey O. 🟨,
90+4', Fabricio 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Castellón will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Castellón: Camara O. (Injury)

There are questionable in Levante: Algobia A. (Injury) Varela Pampin D. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Castellón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
14.10.24	Sporting de Gijón - Castellón	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Eldense - Castellón	2:3 ✺
29.09.24	Castellón - Tenerife	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Castellón - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
16.09.24	Almería - Castellón	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWLW
- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga2
13.10.24	Racing Santander - Levante	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Levante - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Levante - Almería	4:2 ✺
21.09.24	Zaragoza - Levante	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Levante - Eldense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
17.07.24	Levante - Castellón	1:0
11.08.21	Levante - Castellón	0:2
06.09.20	Levante - Castellón	1:0

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