Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 7

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadi Ciutat de València (Valencia)

Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Georgia	Silk Universal
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Portugal	DAZN 4
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3, Movistar Plus+ 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Levante		Almería

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.87
	2.25	3.4	3	Watch
	2.31	3.46	3.22
	2.27	3.45	3.13	Watch
	2.21	3.51	3.11	Watch
	2.25	3.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.56)	3.43 ↓ (3.45)	3.06 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levante
41.9%

Draw
27.4%

Almería
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

27.5%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

28.2%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levante than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Levante that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almería could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	30.8%	0%

Levante - Almería Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Levante will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Levante: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez A. (G) 2. Garcia A. 5. Elgezabal U. 14. Cabello J. 16. Varela Pampin D. 20. Rey O. 24. Alvarez C. 6. Kochorashvili G. 23. Martinez P. (C) 7. Brugue R. 11. Morales J. L.	1. Maximiano L. (G) 17. Pozo A. 21. Chumi 16. Radovanovic A. 20. Centelles A. 3. Gonzalez E. 5. Robertone L. 11. Arribas S. 8. Melero G. 10. Melamed N. 9. Suarez L.
Substitutes
8. Algobia A. 17. Clemente O. 4. Dela 38. Espi C. 30. Fernandez V. 10. Iborra V. 21. Lozano S. 29. Navarro M. 9. Romero I. 36. Vacas A. P. (G) 31. Xavi Grande	15. Baba I. 28. Fettal R. 27. Gui Guedes 4. Kaiky 24. Langa B. 12. Leo Baptistao 6. Lopy D. 19. Marezi 13. Martinez F. (G) 2. Puigmal A.
Coaches
Calero J.	Rubi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, Brugue R. ⚽, Morales J. L. (A),
13', Varela Pampin D. 🟨,
15', 2 - 0, Morales J. L. ⚽, Brugue R. (A),
17', 2 - 1, Arribas S. ⚽, Melero G. (A),
42', Robertone L. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 2, Arribas S. ⚽, Robertone L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Centelles A. ↓, Langa B. ↑,
46', Radovanovic A. ↓, Baba I. ↑,
51', 3 - 2, Kochorashvili G. ⚽, Alvarez C. (A),
52', Robertone L. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
68', Arribas S. ↓, Leo Baptistao ↑,
72', Martinez P. ↓, Iborra V. ↑,
72', Morales J. L. ↓, Romero I. ↑,
74', 4 - 2, Alvarez C. ⚽, Kochorashvili G. (A),
80', Melero G. ↓, Fettal R. ↑,
85', Brugue R. ↓, Espi C. ↑,
86', Kochorashvili G. ↓, Algobia A. ↑,
90+1', Alvarez C. ↓, Fernandez V. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Levante won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Almería could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Levante won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Levante won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga2
21.09.24	Zaragoza - Levante	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Levante - Eldense	3:1 ✺
08.09.24	Cartagena - Levante	0:1 ✺
02.09.24	Eibar - Levante	2:2 ✺
24.08.24	Levante - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWTT
- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
22.09.24	Almería - Eibar	2:2 ✺
16.09.24	Almería - Castellón	2:5 ✺
08.09.24	Eldense - Almería	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Almería - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Tenerife - Almería	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
25.07.19	Levante - Almería	2:0
22.07.17	Levante - Almería	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
19.03.17	Levante - Almería	1:0
09.10.16	Almería - Levante	2:2
Club Friendly
06.08.16	Levante - Almería	2:2
Spanish LaLiga
04.04.15	Almería - Levante	1:4
02.11.14	Levante - Almería	2:1

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