Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 14

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana)

Referee: Ojaos A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion


	Castellón		Real Sociedad B

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.4	4.55	6.9	Watch
	1.31	5.7	9.72
	1.38	4.93	7.65	Watch
	1.43	4.83	7.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.41)	4.9 ↑ (4.63)	7.83 ↑ (6.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
68.6%

Draw
19.3%

Real Sociedad B
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

20.1%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

19.5%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Castellón - Real Sociedad B Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad B (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Matthys R. (G) 22. Mellot J. 5. Jimenez A. 17. Ruiz S. (C) 7. Mabil A. 15. Gerenabarrena B. 8. Barri 12. Alcazar 21. Calatrava A. 19. Jakobsen A. 10. Suero I.	13. Arana E. (G) 29. Garro J. 4. Beitia L. 5. Rodriguez P. (C) 3. Balda J. 14. Carbonell T. 31. Aguirre I. 17. Astiazaran L. 30. Eceizabarrena J. 11. Ochieng J. 18. Carrera G.
Substitutes
1. Abedzadeh A. (G) 11. Aurelio D. 3. Brignani F. 29. De Nipoti T. 6. Doue M. 14. Gil O. 23. Mamah K. 20. Markanich N. 25. Ronaldo 18. Santiago P. 4. Sienra A. 26. Tincho	23. Agote U. 37. Calderon I. 22. Dadie Izagirre A. 7. Diaz D. 32. Folgado T. (G) 19. Marchal A. 10. Mariezkurrena A. 34. Oleaga J. 20. Osazuwa S. 26. Ramirez D.
Coaches
Hernandez P.	Ansotegi I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Mabil A. ⚽, Calatrava A. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Carrera G. ⚽,
35', Suero I. 🟨,
36', Balda J. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 3)
46', Ruiz S. ↓, Mamah K. ↑,
50', 2 - 1, Jakobsen A. ⚽, Mabil A. (A),
51', 3 - 1, Suero I. ⚽, Jakobsen A. (A),
54', Carbonell T. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
59', 4 - 1, Calatrava A. ⚽, Mabil A. (A),
61', Balda J. ↓, Agote U. ↑,
61', Ochieng J. ↓, Marchal A. ↑,
63', Suero I. ↓, Aurelio D. ↑,
63', Alcazar ↓, Sienra A. ↑,
64', 4 - 2, Diaz D. ⚽,
70', Mamah K. ↓, De Nipoti T. ↑,
81', Barri ↓, Doue M. ↑,
83', 5 - 2, Aurelio D. (Pen),
84', Astiazaran L. ↓, Mariezkurrena A. ↑,
84', Aguirre I. ↓, Osazuwa S. ↑,
89', 5 - 3, Osazuwa S. ⚽, Carrera G. (A),
90+1', Aurelio D. 🟨,
90+4', 5 - 4, Rodriguez P. ⚽,
90+7', De Nipoti T. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 16).

Recent form of Castellón has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Real Sociedad B has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Castellón is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Castellón: Camara O. (International duty)

There will not play in Real Sociedad B: Gorosabel G. (Yellow Cards) Lebarbier A. (Injury) Ochieng J. (International duty) Olasagasti L. (Injury) Orobengoa E. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez M. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Castellón: Cipenga B. (International duty) Mamah K. (Inactive) Serpeta (Head Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad B: Carbonell T. (Knee Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
10.11.25	Burgos - Castellón	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Castellón - Málaga	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Antoniano - Castellón	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
26.10.25	Almería - Castellón	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Castellón - Albacete Balompié	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWLLL
- Real Sociedad B
Spanish LaLiga2
08.11.25	Real Sociedad B - Leganés	2:1 ✺
05.11.25	Real Sociedad B - Huesca	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	Racing Santander - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Burgos - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Real Sociedad B - FC Andorra	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.05.23	Real Sociedad B - Castellón	1:1
17.12.22	Castellón - Real Sociedad B	1:1

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