Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 12

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio El Sardinero (Santander)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
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Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
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Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
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Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Racing Santander		Real Sociedad B

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.75	6.25	Watch
	1.44	4.55	6.1
	1.37	5.44	6.96	Watch
	1.47	4.5	6.05	Watch
	1.53	4.3	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.37)	4.71 ↓ (5.44)	6.15 ↓ (6.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
64.9%

Draw
19.9%

Real Sociedad B
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

17.4%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

16.6%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Real Sociedad B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing Santander, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.5%	4.5%	0%

Racing Santander - Real Sociedad B Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Real Sociedad B (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Racing (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Racing Santander will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Racing Santander will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Real Sociedad B (votes: 2 - 13.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ezkieta J. (G) 2. Mantilla A. 21. Ramon P. 16. Gonzalez F. 3. Garcia M. 14. Gueye M. 19. Puerta G. 11. Martin A. 18. Canales P. 10. Vicente I. 29. Jeremy Arevalo	1. Fraga A. (G) 29. Garro J. 4. Beitia L. 15. Kita K. 3. Balda J. 7. Diaz D. 14. Carbonell T. 16. Gorosabel G. 19. Marchal A. 17. Astiazaran L. 18. Carrera G.
Substitutes
8. Aldasoro A. 13. Andreev P. (G) 9. Arana J. 7. Cabanzon Y. 20. Camara S. 5. Castro J. 4. Manu 17. Michelin C. 6. Sainz-Maza I. 15. Sangalli M. 36. Sergio M. 12. Villalibre A.	23. Agote U. 13. Arana E. (G) 37. Calderon I. 22. Dadie Izagirre A. 30. Eceizabarrena J. 33. Gorosabel J. 10. Mariezkurrena A. 11. Ochieng J. 34. Oleaga J. 20. Osazuwa S. 26. Ramirez D. 5. Rodriguez P.
Coaches
Lopez J.	Ansotegi I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Vicente I. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Canales P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Diaz D. ↓, Ochieng J. ↑,
57', Mantilla A. 🟨,
59', Gueye M. 🟨,
60', Puerta G. 🟨,
66', Mantilla A. ↓, Michelin C. ↑,
67', Marchal A. ↓, Mariezkurrena A. ↑,
67', Gorosabel G. ↓, Eceizabarrena J. ↑,
73', Mariezkurrena A. 🟨,
77', Gueye M. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
78', Vicente I. ↓, Sainz-Maza I. ↑,
89', Carbonell T. ↓, Osazuwa S. ↑,
90', Martin A. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
90', Jeremy Arevalo ↓, Villalibre A. ↑,
90+3', Sainz-Maza I. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3.

Racing is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Real Sociedad B is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Real Sociedad B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Racing is the team to beat.

There will not play in Racing: Salinas J. (Jaw injury)

There will not play in Real Sociedad B: Orobengoa E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad B: Olasagasti L. (Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Racing will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	SD Logroñés - Racing Santander	0:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.25	Mirandés - Racing Santander	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Racing Santander - Deportivo A Coruña	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Sporting de Gijón - Racing Santander	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Racing Santander - Málaga	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW
- Real Sociedad B
Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.25	Burgos - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Real Sociedad B - FC Andorra	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Granada - Real Sociedad B	5:2 ✺
28.09.25	Real Sociedad B - Córdoba	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Eibar - Real Sociedad B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
07.03.21	Racing Santander - Real Sociedad B	0:1
03.01.21	Real Sociedad B - Racing Santander	4:1
Club Friendly
09.09.20	Racing Santander - Real Sociedad B	2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
12.01.19	Real Sociedad B - Racing Santander	0:1
26.08.18	Racing Santander - Real Sociedad B	1:0
06.05.18	Real Sociedad B - Racing Santander	3:0
10.12.17	Racing Santander - Real Sociedad B	0:0

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