Match Info

Date: 23 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana)


	Castellón		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	5.75
	1.55	3.6	5.25
	1.55	3.7	5.5
	1.49	3.7	6
	1.54	3.9	6.37
	1.49	3.82	6.25
	1.51	3.9	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.64)	3.77 ↑ (3.3)	5.9 ↑ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
60.3%

Draw
24.2%

Amorebieta
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

27.7%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

26.1%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-1%)

The ML Model estimate for Amorebieta aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Castellón - Amorebieta Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Amorebieta will win (votes: 16 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amorebieta: 74.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Castellón in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Amorebieta is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Amorebieta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Castellón is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Castellón to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.10.22	Alcoyano - Castellón	0:1 ✺
08.10.22	Castellón - La Nucía	4:1 ✺
02.10.22	Castellón - Osasuna B	2:0 ✺
25.09.22	Cornellà - Castellón	0:0 ✺
18.09.22	Castellón - Athletic Bilbao B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWTW
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.10.22	Amorebieta - Athletic Bilbao B	3:0 ✺
09.10.22	Real Unión de Irun - Amorebieta	4:3 ✺
02.10.22	Amorebieta - Numancia	1:2 ✺
25.09.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
18.09.22	Amorebieta - Barcelona B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLT

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