Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 13

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Campo Municipal de Urritxe (Amorebieta-Etxano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	3Cat, Barca TV, Esport3, FEF TV, Movistar Plus+ 1


	Amorebieta		Barcelona B

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.5
	2.5	3.1	2.45
	2.55	3.3	2.55
	2.58	3.2	2.69
	2.54	3.19	2.62	Watch
	2.54	3.18	2.62
	2.55	3.3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.74)	3.22 ↓ (3.31)	2.57 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
36%

Draw
28.4%

Barcelona B
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

27.8%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

26.4%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Barcelona B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona B than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Amorebieta - Barcelona B Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Amorebieta will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Barcelona B will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Campos G. (G) 2. Carbonell A. 23. Calavera J. 22. Yuste A. 5. Amelibia J. (C) 20. Coto E. 17. Munoz I. 14. Ben Hamed N. 11. Hervias P. 3. Camacho S. 7. Selma D.	1. Astralaga A. (G) 2. Trilli 23. Olmedo A. 4. Mbacke M. 25. Oduro D. 36. Rodriguez P. 5. Dominguez S. 17. Lopez R. 30. Hernandez J. 24. Bikoue 10. Hernandez U. (C)
Substitutes
15. Aurtenetxe J. 10. Berto 19. Bravo Fernandez M. 18. Coulibaly A. 9. Kaxe 21. Marin A. 1. Marino U. (G) 6. Nakai P. 27. Reka	15. Aziz Issah A. 11. Barbera V. 51. Bonfill M. (G) 14. Cortes A. 19. Dacosta R. 34. Espart X. 8. Garrido A. 12. Piera J. 16. Sanchez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Yuste A. 🟨,
48', Trilli ↓, Espart X. ↑,
59', Yuste A. ↓, Coulibaly A. ↑,
63', Coto E. 🟨,
64', Hernandez J. ↓, Barbera V. ↑,
71', Hervias P. ↓, Bravo Fernandez M. ↑,
71', Selma D. ↓, Marin A. ↑,
78', Lopez R. ↓, Garrido A. ↑,
78', Olmedo A. ↓, Dacosta R. ↑,
82', Oduro D. 🟨,
85', 0 - 1, Bikoue ⚽,
90', Munoz I. ↓, Berto ↑,
90', Coto E. ↓, Kaxe ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 1, Berto ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 1, Coulibaly A. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Amorebieta is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Barcelona B is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Amorebieta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.11.24	Arenteiro - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Amorebieta - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Barbastro - Amorebieta	4:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.10.24	Tarazona - Amorebieta	3:0 ✺
19.10.24	Amorebieta - Unionistas de Salamanca	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TTLLT
- FC Barcelona B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.11.24	Barcelona B - Lugo	1:1 ✺
06.11.24	Barcelona B - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Barcelona B	2:2 ✺
27.10.24	Barcelona B - Barakaldo	2:2 ✺
19.10.24	Ponferradina - Barcelona B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.02.23	Barcelona B - Amorebieta	1:1
18.09.22	Amorebieta - Barcelona B	0:0

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