Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 33

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday


	Linares Deportivo		Castellón

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.75
	3.9	3.4	1.75
	4.33	3.6	1.75	Watch
	4.24	3.62	1.85
	4.24	3.62	1.81
	4.28	3.67	1.74
	4.1	3.5	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↑ (4.14)	3.54 ↓ (3.59)	1.77 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linares Deportivo
22.1%

Draw
26%

Castellón
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

25.5%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

24.8%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Linares Deportivo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+2%)

Linares Deportivo - Castellón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Casado S. (G) 18. Perejon D. 12. Marin A. 2. Gonzalez F. 3. Varela F. 6. Moreno A. 8. Rodri 11. Berlanga M. 15. Duarte J. 21. Llorente R. 9. Vazquez A.	1. Crettaz G. (G) 12. Chirino D. 5. Jimenez A. 14. Gil O. 11. Aurelio D. 7. Moyita S. 3. Lottin A. 16. Sanchez M. 33. Vertrouwd J. 10. Sanchez R. 9. de Miguel J.
Substitutes
20. Buyla J. 10. Carnicer F. 7. Diaz H. 27. Fernandez I. 28. Guzman G. 1. Juskevicius E. (G) 23. Panadero G. 29. Zaki	23. Calavera J. 13. Carney J. (G) 8. Gracia J. 2. Granero B. 18. Indias I. 20. Iosifov N. 21. Kastaneer G. 4. Medunjanin H. 27. Minana S. 24. Schwake B. (G) 19. Villahermosa D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', Sanchez M. ↓, Kastaneer G. ↑,
66', Aurelio D. ↓, Iosifov N. ↑,
66', Lottin A. ↓, Villahermosa D. ↑,
67', Berlanga M. ↓, Diaz H. ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Marin A. ⚽,
76', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
80', Duarte J. ↓, Carnicer F. ↑,
80', de Miguel J. ↓, Indias I. ↑,
80', Sanchez R. ↓, Granero B. ↑,
89', Vazquez A. ↓, Buyla J. ↑,
89', Moreno A. ↓, Panadero G. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Linares is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Castellón is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Linares could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Castellón is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Linares won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Linares won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.04.24	Ceuta - Linares Deportivo	4:0 ✺
07.04.24	Linares Deportivo - Antequera	0:1 ✺
31.03.24	Málaga - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Linares Deportivo - Melilla	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Algeciras - Linares Deportivo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTTL
- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.04.24	Castellón - Granada B	3:0 ✺
06.04.24	Intercity - Castellón	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Castellón - Recreativo Huelva	3:2 ✺
23.03.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Castellón	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Castellón - Córdoba	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.12.23	Castellón - Linares Deportivo	4:1
23.04.22	Linares Deportivo - Castellón	3:0
23.01.22	Castellón - Linares Deportivo	1:1

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