Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 25

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday


	Castro Daire		Resende

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.4	3.9
	1.85	3.2	3.6
	1.77	3.33	4.87
	1.75	3.45	4.45
	1.81	3.45	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.87)	3.37 ↑ (3.27)	4.14 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castro Daire
50.9%

Draw
27.1%

Resende
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

27.6%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

22%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castro Daire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Resende has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castro Daire than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castro Daire that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resende than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Resende could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Castro Daire - Resende Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 13).

Castro Daire is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Resende has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Castro Daire could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Castro Daire is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Castro Daire won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Castro Daire
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.04.23	Castro Daire - Beira-Mar	0:1 ✺
26.03.23	Castro Daire - Leça	0:2 ✺
18.03.23	Marítimo B - Castro Daire	5:1 ✺
12.03.23	Castro Daire - Guarda Desportiva	4:0 ✺
05.03.23	Lusitânia - Castro Daire	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWL
- GD Resende
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.04.23	Rebordosa - Resende	3:1 ✺
19.03.23	Resende - Beira-Mar	0:1 ✺
12.03.23	Alpendorada - Resende	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Resende - Marítimo B	1:2 ✺
26.02.23	Valadares Gaia - Resende	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.12.22	Resende - Castro Daire	2:2

Castro Daire - Resende: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide