Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 21

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Castrumfavara		Nissa

	1	X	2
	3.58	3.31	1.95	Watch
	3.52	3.22	1.97
	3.6	3.2	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↓ (3.6)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)	1.96 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Castrumfavara
25.5%

Draw
28.1%

Nissa
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

27.6%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

26.6%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castrumfavara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Nissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castrumfavara than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nissa than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Castrumfavara - Nissa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 🟥,
90+14', 0 - 1, Provenzano A. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).

Castrumfavara has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Nissa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nissa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Nissa	6	2	2	2	9:9	0	8
14	Castrumfavara	6	1	1	4	5:7	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Castrumfavara
Italian Serie D - Group I
18.01.26	Milazzo - Castrumfavara	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Castrumfavara - Sambiase	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Enna - Castrumfavara	3:0 ✺
04.01.26	Reggina - Castrumfavara	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Castrumfavara - Paternò	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- Nissa FC
Italian Serie D - Group I
18.01.26	Nissa - Gelbison Cilento	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Nissa - Reggina	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Milazzo - Nissa	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Paternò - Nissa	0:3 ✺
14.12.25	Nissa - Sambiase	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLTWT

Castrumfavara - Nissa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide