Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 25

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Castuera		Jerez

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	2.04
	3.4	3.2	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 (3.4)	3.2 (3.2)	2.04 (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castuera
26.8%

Draw
28.5%

Jerez
44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

28.1%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Castuera have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Jerez have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castuera than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Quintero J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
62', 2 - 0, Neiva J. ⚽,
89', 3 - 0, Quintero J. ⚽,
90', 3 - 1, Roldan J. ⚽,
90+9', 3 - 2, Rodriguez L. ⚽,
90+11', 4 - 2, Quintero J. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Castuera has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Jerez is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jerez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Jerez will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Jerez to win the game is with odds 2.04.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Castuera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Castuera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castuera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
02.03.25	Santa Amalia - Castuera	4:1 ✺
09.02.25	Castuera - Villafranca	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Moralo - Castuera	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Azuaga - Castuera	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Castuera - Badajoz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Jerez CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
02.03.25	Jerez - Trujillo	4:0 ✺
23.02.25	Pueblonuevo - Jerez	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	CD Extremadura - Jerez	4:0 ✺
02.02.25	Jerez - Jaraíz	2:3 ✺
26.01.25	Arroyo - Jerez	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
27.10.24	Jerez - Castuera	3:1
07.01.24	Castuera - Jerez	4:0

Castuera - Jerez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide