Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday


	Castuera		Llerenense

	1	X	2
	8	3.8	1.38
	5.8	3.85	1.49
	5.35	3.93	1.55	Watch
	5.18	3.94	1.61
	5.8	3.85	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.03 ↑ (5.73)	3.87 ↑ (3.75)	1.5 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castuera
15.2%

Draw
23.7%

Llerenense
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

24.2%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

24.1%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castuera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Llerenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castuera than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Castuera - Llerenense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Gonzalez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 2 - 0, Martinez F. ⚽,
81', 2 - 1, Cordero A. ⚽,
90', 3 - 1, Bizcocho F. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).

Castuera is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Llerenense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Llerenense is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Castuera won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castuera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
16.03.25	Olivenza - Castuera	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Castuera - Jerez	4:2 ✺
02.03.25	Santa Amalia - Castuera	4:1 ✺
09.02.25	Castuera - Villafranca	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Moralo - Castuera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLLL
- AD Llerenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
15.03.25	Llerenense - Trujillo	3:0 ✺
09.03.25	Pueblonuevo - Llerenense	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Llerenense - Puebla de la Calzada	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	CD Extremadura - Llerenense	3:0 ✺
09.02.25	Arroyo - Llerenense	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
14.04.19	Llerenense - Castuera	2:0

Castuera - Llerenense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide