Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 19

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Castuera		Moralo

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.1	2.15
	2.82	3.1	2.12
	3.52	3.07	2.01
	3.57	3	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (3.16)	3.07 ↑ (2.91)	2.09 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castuera
27.9%

Draw
29.2%

Moralo
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

30.9%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

32%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castuera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Moralo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castuera than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

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Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Moralo will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castuera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
21.01.24	Arroyo - Castuera	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Olivenza - Castuera	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Castuera - Jerez	4:0 ✺
16.12.23	Montehermoso - Castuera	1:3 ✺
03.12.23	Castuera - Jaraíz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WLWWW
- Moralo CP
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
21.01.24	Moralo - Pueblonuevo	3:1 ✺
14.01.24	Arroyo - Moralo	2:1 ✺
07.01.24	Moralo - Olivenza	4:1 ✺
16.12.23	Jerez - Moralo	2:6 ✺
03.12.23	Moralo - Montehermoso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWW

Castuera - Moralo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide