Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 14

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Moralo		Montehermoso

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.53	4.96
	1.61	3.53	4.96
	1.53	3.76	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.89)	3.61 ↑ (3.28)	5.14 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moralo
57.3%

Draw
25.1%

Montehermoso
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

27.7%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

26.6%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moralo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moralo's performance.

Montehermoso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montehermoso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moralo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montehermoso than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montehermoso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 and 6).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Moralo is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Moralo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Moralo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moralo CP
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
26.11.23	Jaraíz - Moralo	2:1 ✺
19.11.23	Moralo - Trujillo	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Coria - Moralo	4:2 ✺
05.11.23	Moralo - Calamonte	3:0 ✺
29.10.23	Don Álvaro - Moralo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LTLWT
- CP Montehermoso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
26.11.23	Montehermoso - Arroyo	1:4 ✺
19.11.23	Olivenza - Montehermoso	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Montehermoso - Jerez	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Montehermoso - Pueblonuevo	1:0 ✺
31.10.23	Jaraíz - Montehermoso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
14.01.23	Moralo - Montehermoso	7:0
11.09.22	Montehermoso - Moralo	0:1

Moralo - Montehermoso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide