Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 12

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Catanduva		União São João

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	4.05
	1.93	2.89	4.12
	1.91	3.06	4.14	Watch
	1.91	2.9	4
	1.92	3.24	4.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.76)	3.04 ↓ (3.31)	4.1 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catanduva
47.8%

Draw
30%

União São João
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

27.3%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

29.8%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catanduva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

União São João has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanduva than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Catanduva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União São João than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Catanduva - União São João Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
35', 0 - 1, Rafael Costa ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Diego Maia (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Catanduva is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Catanduva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Catanduva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Catanduva FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
04.03.26	XV de Jaú - Catanduva	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Portuguesa Santista - Catanduva	3:1 ✺
25.02.26	Catanduva - Marília	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Rio Branco de Americana - Catanduva	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Catanduva - União Barbarense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLTTW
- União São João de Araras
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
04.03.26	União São João - Portuguesa Santista	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Itapirense - União São João	1:1 ✺
25.02.26	Desportivo Brasil - União São João	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	União São João - Marília	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	União São João - União Suzano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
05.03.25	União São João - Catanduva	1:0
24.02.24	Catanduva - União São João	1:0

Catanduva - União São João: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide