Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 17

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadio Nicola Ceravolo (Catanzaro)


	Catanzaro		Virtus Francavilla

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.6	8.5
	1.24	4.9	10.5
	1.27	4.5	9
	1.28	4.81	10.22
	1.27	4.5	9.5
	1.26	5.1	9.6	Watch
	1.27	4.9	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.32)	4.76 ↑ (4.03)	9.5 ↑ (9.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catanzaro
71.4%

Draw
19%

Virtus Francavilla
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

22.2%

9.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.9%

20.7%

9.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Virtus Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Catanzaro - Virtus Francavilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Virtus Francavilla will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Virtus Francavilla: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 3.

Catanzaro in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Virtus Francavilla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Catanzaro is absolute favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Catanzaro won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie C Group C
30.11.22	Catanzaro - Giugliano	3:0 ✺
27.11.22	Pescara - Catanzaro	0:3 ✺
20.11.22	Catanzaro - Gelbison Cilento	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.11.22	Catanzaro - Avellino	4:3 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
13.11.22	Nuova Monterosi - Catanzaro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW
- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
30.11.22	Virtus Francavilla - Pescara	3:2 ✺
27.11.22	Monopoli - Virtus Francavilla	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Virtus Francavilla - Taranto	3:0 ✺
13.11.22	Juve Stabia - Virtus Francavilla	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	Virtus Francavilla - Audace Cerignola	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
22.12.21	Virtus Francavilla - Catanzaro	2:1
29.08.21	Catanzaro - Virtus Francavilla	3:1
13.03.21	Catanzaro - Virtus Francavilla	1:0
15.11.20	Virtus Francavilla - Catanzaro	1:1
Coppa Italia
23.09.20	Catanzaro - Virtus Francavilla	2:1
Italian Serie C Group C
22.02.20	Virtus Francavilla - Catanzaro	4:0
06.10.19	Catanzaro - Virtus Francavilla	3:1

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