Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 20

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani (Potenza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256


	Potenza		Giugliano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.1	2.9
	2.1	3.15	3.3
	2.15	3.24	3.19	Watch
	2	3.1	3.3
	2.08	3.38	3.43
	2.08	3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.73)	3.16 ↓ (3.67)	3.31 ↓ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Potenza
43.5%

Draw
28.9%

Giugliano
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

25%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

24%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Potenza's form might have worsened.

Giugliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Giugliano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Potenza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giugliano than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Giugliano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Potenza - Giugliano Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Potenza will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Giugliano will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Potenza: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Potenza (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Giugliano (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Cucchietti T. (G) 98. Adjapong C. 14. Riggio C. 47. Bura R. 3. Rocchetti Y. 5. Lucas Martello 31. Siatounis A. 77. Ghisolfi M. 21. Schimmenti E. 11. Mazzeo L. 23. De Marco A.	1. Bolletta L. (G) 23. Laezza G. 8. De Rosa R. 5. Pedro Justiniano 2. Marchisano M. 28. Prezioso M. 4. Zammarini R. 70. D'Agostino G. 32. Balde I. 90. Nepi A. 11. Volpe G.
Substitutes
22. Alastra F. (G) 24. Bachini M. 19. Balzano M. 8. Castorani M. 10. D'Auria G. 83. Gabriele G. 96. Guiotto G. (G) 30. Petrungaro L. 20. Ragone G. 89. Santucci G. 4. Sciacca G.	37. Acampa D. 10. Borello G. 17. Esposito G. 26. Forciniti L. 71. Giordano N. 9. Isaac Prado 98. La Rocca G. (G) 25. Minei A. 44. Peluso L. 31. Russo A. (G) 29. Salvatore C. 14. Vaglica G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Laezza G. 🟨,
26', Siatounis A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', D'Agostino G. ↓, Vaglica G. ↑,
58', Prezioso M. 🟥,
60', Nepi A. ↓, Forciniti L. ↑,
60', Volpe G. ↓, Isaac Prado ↑,
64', Siatounis A. ↓, D'Auria G. ↑,
73', Ghisolfi M. ↓, Castorani M. ↑,
73', Mazzeo L. ↓, Petrungaro L. ↑,
85', Pedro Justiniano ↓, Acampa D. ↑,
88', De Marco A. ↓, Ragone G. ↑,
90+1', Zammarini R. 🟨,
90+3', Marchisano M. 🟨,
90+5', De Rosa R. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Potenza won 3.

Recent performances by Potenza have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Giugliano is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Potenza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Potenza will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Potenza won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:11. (average 1.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Potenza won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Potenza	8	6	1	1	21:11	10	19
18	Giugliano	7	2	1	4	12:16	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Potenza FC
Italian Serie C Group C
21.12.25	Monopoli - Potenza	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Potenza - Catania	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
10.12.25	Potenza - Crotone	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
06.12.25	Sorrento - Potenza	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Potenza - Casarano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTWTW
- Giugliano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
19.12.25	Giugliano - Casertana	0:3 ✺
14.12.25	Benevento - Giugliano	4:0 ✺
06.12.25	Giugliano - Altamura	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Crotone - Giugliano	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
26.11.25	Ternana - Giugliano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
24.08.25	Giugliano - Potenza	2:3
30.03.25	Potenza - Giugliano	4:4
16.11.24	Giugliano - Potenza	1:2
25.02.24	Potenza - Giugliano	1:0
21.10.23	Giugliano - Potenza	0:0
16.04.23	Giugliano - Potenza	3:2
11.12.22	Potenza - Giugliano	1:1

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