Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Hermanos Antuña (Mieres)


	Caudal Deportivo		Atlético Central

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.10	3.60
	1.95	3.1	3.6
	2	3.26	3.88
	1.88	3.37	3.86	Watch
	1.95	3	3.8
	1.9	3.16	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.6)	3.17 ↑ (3)	3.77 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caudal Deportivo
47.1%

Draw
28.8%

Atlético Central
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

30.2%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

30.5%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caudal Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caudal Deportivo's performance.

Atlético Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Central might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caudal Deportivo than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caudal Deportivo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Central than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Central could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Caudal Deportivo - Atlético Central Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 1 - 1, Castillo Zambrano S. ⚽,
90+2', 🟥,

Preview

First leg result: 0-2.

Caudal Deportivo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atlético Central's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Caudal Deportivo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Caudal Deportivo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caudal Deportivo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
14.06.26	Atlético Central - Caudal Deportivo	2:0 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
07.06.26	Covadonga - Caudal Deportivo	2:4 ✺
31.05.26	Caudal Deportivo - Covadonga	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Sporting de Gijón B - Caudal Deportivo	1:2 ET ✺
17.05.26	Caudal Deportivo - Sporting de Gijón B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 LWWWT
- Club Atlético Central
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
14.06.26	Atlético Central - Caudal Deportivo	2:0 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
07.06.26	Dos Hermanas - Atlético Central	1:4 ET ✺
31.05.26	Atlético Central - Dos Hermanas	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Atlético Central - Bollullos	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Bollullos - Atlético Central	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
14.06.26	Atlético Central - Caudal Deportivo	2:0

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