The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cavenago Fanfulla 13.3%
Draw 23.6%
Desenzano Calvina 63.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16%
25.6%
58.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.4%
25%
57.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cavenago Fanfulla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavenago Fanfulla than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Desenzano Calvina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cavenago Fanfulla - Desenzano Calvina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, Lucatti G. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Fanfulla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Desenzano is absolute favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Fanfulla won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:2 (average 2.8:0.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Fanfulla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:2 (average 3:1).