Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 38

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Simonetta Lamberti (Cava de' Tirreni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Cavese		Nuova Cosenza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.15	3.3	1.82
	4.37	3.36	1.87
	4.17	3.48	1.79	Watch
	4	3.1	1.8
	4.39	3.38	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↓ (4.64)	3.32 ↓ (3.96)	1.8 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cavese
21.7%

Draw
27.5%

Nuova Cosenza
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

23.3%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

22.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cavese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nuova Cosenza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nuova Cosenza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Cavese - Nuova Cosenza Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cavese will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Cosenza will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Cavese (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cavese (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Sposito A. (G) 13. Evangelisti N. 25. Peretti M. 27. Loreto C. 70. Urbani 11. Diarrassouba A. 5. Awua T. 10. Fella G. 28. Macchi M. 16. Ubaldi L. 82. Fusco G.	1. Pompei T. (G) 7. Cannavo K. 3. Moretti A. 17. Caporale A. 33. Ferrara A. 27. Ba R. 10. Garritano L. (C) 37. Palmieri R. 20. Baez J. 34. Florenzi A. 30. Mazzocchi S.
Substitutes
12. Boffelli V. (G) 73. Bolcano D. 15. Cionek T. 78. Di Costanzo R. 9. Gudjohnsen S. 45. Imparato C. 3. Luciani A. 20. Maiolo F. 22. Manzo F. (G) 7. Minaj E. 23. Munari D. 17. Nunziata F. 24. Orlando F. 90. Visconti E. 33. Yabre M.	23. Achour S. 9. Beretta G. 45. Ciotti P. 5. Contiero L. 19. Contiliano N. 11. D'Orazio T. 90. Emmausso M. 77. Langella C. 18. Perlingieri M. 6. Pintus N. 40. Vannucchi T. (G) 22. Vettorel T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Baez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Mazzocchi S. ↓, Emmausso M. ↑,
60', Baez J. ↓, Beretta G. ↑,
60', Fusco G. ↓, Orlando F. ↑,
60', Urbani ↓, Munari D. ↑,
75', Evangelisti N. ↓, Gudjohnsen S. ↑,
76', Palmieri R. ↓, Langella C. ↑,
76', Garritano L. ↓, Contiero L. ↑,
81', Awua T. ↓, Maiolo F. ↑,
81', Ubaldi L. ↓, Di Costanzo R. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Gudjohnsen S. ⚽,
90', Cannavo K. 🟨,
90+1', Ba R. ↓, Perlingieri M. ↑,
90+1', Diarrassouba A. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)).

Cavese has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cosenza is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Cosenza is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cavese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cavese	8	3	2	3	14:14	0	11
19	Cosenza	8	0	2	6	5:18	-13	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
19.04.26	Siracusa - Cavese	1:1 ✺
13.04.26	Benevento - Cavese	0:1 ✺
08.04.26	Atalanta U23 - Cavese	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Cavese - Casertana	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Cavese - Foggia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TWTLT
- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie C Group C
19.04.26	Nuova Cosenza - Trapani	1:0 ✺
13.04.26	Picerno - Nuova Cosenza	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Nuova Cosenza - Foggia	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Benevento - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Nuova Cosenza - Latina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
19.12.25	Nuova Cosenza - Cavese	2:1

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