Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 8

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Simonetta Lamberti (Cava de' Tirreni)

Referee: Mbei J. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Cavese		Casertana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.80	3.25	2.15
	3.05	3.1	2.2
	3.08	3.25	2.43
	2.99	3.21	2.27	Watch
	3	3	2.4
	3.02	3.33	2.29	Watch
	3.05	3.15	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.81)	3.18 ↓ (3.24)	2.28 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cavese
30.7%

Draw
28.9%

Casertana
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

28.4%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

28.3%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cavese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Cavese - Casertana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Boffelli V. (G) 28. Mannucci T. 25. Peretti M. (C) 23. Fiordaliso A. 77. Macchi M. 20. Esposito G. 5. Awua T. 17. Nunziata F. 24. Orlando F. 82. Fusco G. 7. Minaj E.	1. De Lucia V. (C) 23. Martino P. 4. Kontek I. 17. Caporale A. 18. Oukhadda S. 8. Girelli S. 16. Pezzella S. 20. Bentivegna A. 21. Vezzoni F. 10. Manconi J. 9. Castelli D.
Substitutes
9. Alberti T. 2. Asiatico P. 22. Bertini M. (G) 26. Cionek T. 62. D'Amore F. 10. Fella G. 47. Fiorin G. 1. Juwer R. (G) 61. Maiolo F. 33. Personeni M. 15. Ponziglione I. 11. Sava S. 46. Severino G.	51. Arzillo V. 24. Belli F. 19. Colley M. 32. Di Tacchio F. 11. Favale G. 99. Henin G. 12. Luca S. (G) 22. Magro F. (G) 5. Mehic D. 7. Piovanello E. 33. Rocchi G. 27. Sandri M.
Coaches
Masitto C.	Espinal V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', Fiordaliso A. ↓, Asiatico P. ↑,
40', 1 - 0, Orlando F. ⚽,
41', Bertini M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Pezzella S. ↓, Di Tacchio F. ↑,
57', Oukhadda S. ↓, Favale G. ↑,
62', Vezzoni F. ↓, Piovanello E. ↑,
63', Fusco G. ↓, Alberti T. ↑,
63', Esposito G. ↓, Fiorin G. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Fiorin G. ⚽,
77', Minaj E. ↓, Fella G. ↑,
78', Macchi M. ↓, Sava S. ↑,
87', Bentivegna A. ↓, Henin G. ↑,
87', Castelli D. ↓, Colley M. ↑,
90+5', Sava S. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 14th and 5th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cavese won 1.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Cavese has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:15 (averaging 0.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cavese against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 2:4 goals (averaging 0.4:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Casertana	9	4	3	2	15:13	2	15
11	Cavese	8	3	2	3	14:14	0	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
26.09.26	Cavese - Savoia	4:2 ✺
20.09.26	Potenza - Cavese	4:2 ✺
15.09.26	Cavese - Sorrento	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Nuova Cosenza - Cavese	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Salernitana - Cavese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLTT
- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
27.09.26	Casertana - Catania	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Audace Cerignola - Casertana	0:0 ✺
15.09.26	Casertana - Altamura	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Inter U23 - Casertana	2:3 ✺
06.09.26	Casertana - Scafatese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
04.04.26	Cavese - Casertana	0:1
29.11.25	Casertana - Cavese	3:1
03.03.25	Cavese - Casertana	1:0
21.10.24	Casertana - Cavese	1:0
21.03.21	Casertana - Cavese	2:1
29.11.20	Cavese - Casertana	0:1
29.02.20	Casertana - Cavese	2:0

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