Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 9

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio (Picerno) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Mazzer A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	20:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Picerno		Nuova Cosenza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.30
	1.88	3.10	3.65	Watch
	2.18	3.25	3.60
	1.91	3.26	3.91	Watch
	2.14	3.00	3.55
	1.92	3.13	3.73	Watch
	1.91	3.30	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.6)	3.18 ↓ (3.78)	3.63 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Picerno
46.1%

Draw
28.7%

Nuova Cosenza
25.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.4%

24.3%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

23%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Picerno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Picerno's form might have worsened.

Nuova Cosenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nuova Cosenza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Picerno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nuova Cosenza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Picerno - Nuova Cosenza Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cosenza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Marcone R. (G) 30. Gemignani A. 4. Bellodi G. 29. Del Fabro D. 26. Bassoli A. 16. Bianchi S. 44. Franco D. 92. Scravaglieri M. 8. Virgilio P. 90. Abreu L. (C) 7. Kanoute M.	1. Rizzo M. (G) 4. Pascalau R. 33. Dalmazzi A. 26. Dametto P. (C) 67. Clemente G. 23. Palmieri R. 7. McJannet E. 5. Contiliano N. 29. Palazzino F. 11. Almaviva M. 9. Achour S.
Substitutes
72. Coppola G. 22. Cortese S. (G) 14. Egharevba D. 11. Esposito E. 10. Maiorino P. 21. Maselli S. 17. Nocerino L. 70. Oliviero A. 12. Pecci F. (G) 2. Perri M. 19. Pistolesi F. 99. Pugliese S. 23. Rillo F. 15. Tolovan R.	47. Barone A. 66. Cimino B. 13. Cogoni A. 41. Contiero E. 15. D'Alena A. 24. Dzepar O. 10. Energe A. 3. Giannini E. 12. Iliev V. (G) 6. Ndow A. 17. Petrovic T. 77. Pozzi A. 14. Quieto D. 21. Ragone D. 22. Rantuccio C. (G)
Coaches
De Luca C.	Coppitelli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Virgilio P. ⚽, Del Fabro D. (A),
45+4', 1 - 1, Achour S. ⚽, Clemente G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Bassoli A. 🟨,
56', 1 - 2, McJannet E. ⚽, Palmieri R. (A),
58', Franco D. ↓, Maselli S. ↑,
58', Bassoli A. ↓, Rillo F. ↑,
60', Dalmazzi A. 🟨,
65', Contiliano N. ↓, Energe A. ↑,
65', Palazzino F. ↓, Cimino B. ↑,
69', Scravaglieri M. ↓, Coppola G. ↑,
69', Kanoute M. ↓, Esposito E. ↑,
69', Almaviva M. ↓, D'Alena A. ↑,
73', Coppitelli F. 🟨,
74', Coppola G. 🟨,
87', Achour S. ↓, Ndow A. ↑,
87', Palmieri R. ↓, Petrovic T. ↑,
88', Esposito E. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 9th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals) and 19th in the Serie C - Play Out).

Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.

Picerno is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Picerno has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Picerno against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Picerno	11	5	0	6	20:18	2	15
19	Cosenza	11	1	3	7	9:23	-14	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
04.10.26	Potenza - Picerno	4:2 ✺
26.09.26	Picerno - Audace Cerignola	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Altamura - Picerno	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Picerno - Catania	2:4 ✺
12.09.26	Sorrento - Picerno	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL
- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie C Group C
04.10.26	Nuova Cosenza - Foggia	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	Bari - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Nuova Cosenza - Scafatese	1:1 ✺
15.09.26	Giugliano - Nuova Cosenza	5:2 ✺
12.09.26	Nuova Cosenza - Cavese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
13.04.26	Picerno - Nuova Cosenza	3:1
07.12.25	Nuova Cosenza - Picerno	1:0

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