Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza)

Referee: Migliorini A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio


	Nuova Cosenza		Foggia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	3.10	2.45
	3.1	3.25	2.12	Watch
	3.75	3.27	2.12
	3.04	3.22	2.23	Watch
	3.7	3	2.09
	3.53	3.55	2.07	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.56)	3.23 ↑ (3.12)	2.17 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
28.6%

Draw
28.7%

Foggia
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

29.5%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

28.5%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nuova Cosenza's form might have worsened.

Foggia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Foggia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nuova Cosenza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Foggia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nuova Cosenza - Foggia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Cosenza (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cosenza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rizzo M. (G) 67. Clemente G. 33. Dalmazzi A. 26. Dametto P. (C) 3. Giannini E. 5. Contiliano N. 23. Palmieri R. 7. McJannet E. 10. Energe A. 17. Petrovic T. 29. Palazzino F.	22. Saro G. (G) 3. Seck M. 21. Berra F. 6. Di Pasquale D. (C) 2. Todisco G. 14. Zuccon F. 4. Gallo A. 16. Haoudi H. 11. Petito F. 91. Ravasio M. 18. Luciani P.
Substitutes
9. Achour S. 11. Almaviva M. 47. Barone A. 66. Cimino B. 13. Cogoni A. 41. Contiero E. 15. D'Alena A. 24. Dzepar O. 12. Iliev V. (G) 6. Ndow A. 77. Pozzi A. 14. Quieto D. 21. Ragone D. 22. Rantuccio C. (G)	33. Azarovs T. 27. Bigonzoni M. 8. Coulibaly M. 10. Del Sole F. 12. Marfella D. (G) 29. Merdji Y. 37. Ngana V. 7. Oviszach E. 17. Panico G. 51. Parisy C. 19. Rinaldo M. 32. Smeraldi A. 80. Testa A. (G) 28. Toure I.
Coaches
Coppitelli F.	Auteri G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Gallo A. 🟨,
28', Seck M. 🟨,
38', Petito F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Haoudi H. ↓, Panico G. ↑,
54', 0 - 1, Ravasio M. ⚽, Zuccon F. (A),
61', Palmieri R. ↓, Achour S. ↑,
61', Palazzino F. ↓, Dzepar O. ↑,
64', Gallo A. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
64', Luciani P. ↓, Merdji Y. ↑,
66', Giannini E. ↓, Almaviva M. ↑,
77', Zuccon F. ↓, Ngana V. ↑,
80', Di Pasquale D. ↓, Parisy C. ↑,
85', Energe A. ↓, Quieto D. ↑,
85', McJannet E. ↓, D'Alena A. ↑,
90+4', Ngana V. 🟨,
90+6', 0 - 2, Petito F. ⚽,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 19th in the Serie C - Play Out and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cosenza won 3.

The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.

Foggia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Cosenza has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:18 (averaging 1.1:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cosenza against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 11:5 goals (averaging 1.6:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Foggia	8	3	2	3	8:7	1	11
19	Cosenza	8	0	2	6	5:18	-13	2

Last Results with these Odds

Nuova Cosenza - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.93%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Foggia - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.58%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie C Group C
26.09.26	Bari - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Nuova Cosenza - Scafatese	1:1 ✺
15.09.26	Giugliano - Nuova Cosenza	5:2 ✺
12.09.26	Nuova Cosenza - Cavese	0:0 ✺
07.09.26	Catania - Nuova Cosenza	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTLTL
- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
27.09.26	Foggia - Sorrento	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Inter U23 - Foggia	3:2 ✺
15.09.26	Foggia - Savoia	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Monopoli - Foggia	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Foggia - Audace Cerignola	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
04.04.26	Nuova Cosenza - Foggia	1:0
30.11.25	Foggia - Nuova Cosenza	2:1
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Nuova Cosenza - Foggia	2:0
Italian Serie B
01.03.19	Foggia - Nuova Cosenza	1:0
20.10.18	Nuova Cosenza - Foggia	2:0
Italian Serie C Group C
07.05.17	Nuova Cosenza - Foggia	2:2
17.12.16	Foggia - Nuova Cosenza	3:1

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