Match Info

Date: 7 February 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Cavese		Paganese

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.25
	2.25	2.6	3.5
	2	3.25	3.3
	2.21	2.75	3.3
	2.36	2.93	3.52
	2.25	2.9	3.4
	2.18	3.13	3.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2)	2.94 ↓ (3.22)	3.37 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cavese
41.6%

Draw
31.2%

Paganese
27.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.3%

28.1%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

19.6%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cavese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cavese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paganese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cavese - Paganese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 18 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

Recent matches Cavese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paganese is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cavese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cavese will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cavese won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Cavese won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
03.02.21	Bari - Cavese	1:1 ✺
31.01.21	Cavese - Bisceglie	3:1 ✺
24.01.21	Vibonese - Cavese	1:1 ✺
16.01.21	Avellino - Cavese	1:0 ✺
09.01.21	Cavese - Palermo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TWTLL
- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
03.02.21	Paganese - Catanzaro	1:0 ✺
30.01.21	Ternana - Paganese	3:1 ✺
17.01.21	Paganese - Casertana	1:3 ✺
10.01.21	Potenza - Paganese	1:0 ✺
23.12.20	Paganese - Foggia	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
11.10.20	Paganese - Cavese	0:0
01.02.20	Paganese - Cavese	0:0
22.09.19	Cavese - Paganese	1:0
17.03.19	Cavese - Paganese	4:0
17.11.18	Paganese - Cavese	2:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
26.08.18	Cavese - Paganese	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
31.10.26	Cavese - Picerno	✺

Cavese - Paganese