Match Info

Date: 9 January 2021, Saturday


	Cavese		Palermo

	1	X	2
	3.8	3	1.9
	3.5	3.1	2
	3.85	2.95	1.95
	3.65	2.85	2.02
	4.04	3.14	2.06
	3.6	3.1	2.1
	3.58	3.25	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (3.46)	3.06 ↑ (3.06)	2.01 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cavese
24.6%

Draw
29.9%

Palermo
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

29.6%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

21.8%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cavese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cavese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palermo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cavese - Palermo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Cavese is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Palermo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Palermo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
23.12.20	Turris - Cavese	2:0 ✺
19.12.20	Teramo - Cavese	1:1 ✺
13.12.20	Cavese - Virtus Francavilla	0:0 ✺
06.12.20	Catania - Cavese	1:1 ✺
29.11.20	Cavese - Casertana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTTTL
- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie C Group C
23.12.20	Palermo - Bari	1:1 ✺
20.12.20	Vibonese - Palermo	0:0 ✺
13.12.20	Palermo - Casertana	2:0 ✺
06.12.20	Foggia - Palermo	2:0 ✺
02.12.20	Palermo - Viterbese	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTWLT

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