Match Info

Date: 13 December 2020, Sunday


	Palermo		Casertana

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.2	4.5
	1.42	3.8	7
	1.6	3.4	5.25
	1.67	3.15	5
	1.5	3.64	7.89
	1.47	3.6	8
	1.43	3.94	7.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.74)	3.53 ↑ (3.21)	6.49 ↑ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palermo
59.7%

Draw
26.1%

Casertana
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

28.2%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

18%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palermo's performance.

Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casertana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-26.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Palermo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casertana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Palermo - Casertana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 15).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Palermo have a series of home games.

In this match Palermo is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie C Group C
06.12.20	Foggia - Palermo	2:0 ✺
02.12.20	Palermo - Viterbese	3:3 ✺
29.11.20	Palermo - Monopoli	3:0 ✺
25.11.20	Palermo - Turris	0:1 ✺
18.11.20	Palermo - Potenza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTWLW
- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
07.12.20	Casertana - Monopoli	2:1 ✺
02.12.20	Casertana - Vibonese	0:2 ✺
29.11.20	Cavese - Casertana	0:1 ✺
22.11.20	Casertana - Bari	0:2 ✺
08.11.20	Virtus Francavilla - Casertana	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WLWLW

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