Match Info

Date: 13 December 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Cavese		Virtus Francavilla

	1	X	2
	3	2.87	2.45
	2.65	2.8	2.65
	2.65	3	2.5
	2.75	2.8	2.49
	2.81	3.11	2.62
	2.75	2.9	2.7
	2.78	2.93	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.6)	2.92 ↑ (2.82)	2.58 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cavese
33.1%

Draw
31.4%

Virtus Francavilla
35.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.7%

32%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

23.6%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cavese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cavese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Francavilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cavese - Virtus Francavilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 12).

Cavese has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Virtus Francavilla is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cavese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Cavese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
06.12.20	Catania - Cavese	1:1 ✺
29.11.20	Cavese - Casertana	0:1 ✺
22.11.20	Catanzaro - Cavese	2:1 ✺
15.11.20	Cavese - Foggia	0:1 ✺
07.11.20	Cavese - Ternana	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLLL
- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
06.12.20	Virtus Francavilla - Avellino	1:0 ✺
29.11.20	Virtus Francavilla - Teramo	1:1 ✺
22.11.20	Foggia - Virtus Francavilla	1:1 ✺
15.11.20	Virtus Francavilla - Catanzaro	1:1 ✺
11.11.20	Ternana - Virtus Francavilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
08.12.19	Virtus Francavilla - Cavese	1:0
20.01.19	Virtus Francavilla - Cavese	2:0
22.09.18	Cavese - Virtus Francavilla	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
31.10.26	Cavese - Picerno	✺
- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie D
28.10.26	Fidelis Andria - Virtus Francavilla	✺

Cavese - Virtus Francavilla