The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cavese 33.1%
Draw 31.4%
Virtus Francavilla 35.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.7%
32%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.6%
23.6%
45.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cavese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cavese that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Francavilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cavese - Virtus Francavilla Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 12).
Cavese has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Virtus Francavilla is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Cavese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Cavese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.