Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 21

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Angelo Massimino (Catania)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia
World	Onefootball


	Catania		Cavese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.39	4.05	7.9
	1.36	4.32	8.25	Watch
	1.36	3.8	8
	1.38	3.84	8.6	Watch
	1.37	4.25	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.31)	4.05 ↓ (4.55)	8.25 ↓ (9.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catania
66.4%

Draw
22.5%

Cavese
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

20.2%

9.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.7%

19%

8.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Cavese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Catania, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Catania - Cavese Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Catania will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Dini A. (G) 73. Pieraccini S. 15. Di Gennaro M. 6. Allegretto A. 24. Casasola T. 16. Quaini A. 14. Di Tacchio F. 20. Donnarumma D. 7. Jimenez K. 23. Lunetta G. 32. Forte F.	12. Boffelli V. (G) 13. Evangelisti N. 73. Bolcano D. 27. Loreto C. 77. Amerighi I. 24. Orlando F. 5. Awua T. 20. Maiolo F. 14. Pelamatti A. 10. Fella G. 16. Ubaldi L.
Substitutes
1. Bethers K. (G) 17. Bruzzaniti G. 18. Caturano S. 12. Coco L. (G) 30. Corbari A. 99. D'Ausilio M. 28. Doni S. 77. Martic M. 21. Quiroz G. 19. Raimo A. 9. Rolfini A. 11. Stoppa M.	8. Barone M. 82. Fusco G. 33. Iuliano S. (G) 1. Lamberti D. (G) 23. Munari D. 17. Nunziata F. 7. Sorrentino D. 90. Visconti E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Maiolo F. 🟨,
36', Fella G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Pelamatti A. ↓, Nunziata F. ↑,
46', Forte F. ↓, Rolfini A. ↑,
58', Di Tacchio F. ↓, Bruzzaniti G. ↑,
59', Fella G. ↓, Sorrentino D. ↑,
59', Maiolo F. ↓, Munari D. ↑,
61', Di Gennaro M. 🟨,
64', Allegretto A. 🟨,
66', Evangelisti N. 🟨,
69', Donnarumma D. ↓, Caturano S. ↑,
79', Ubaldi L. ↓, Fusco G. ↑,
80', Fusco G. 🟨,
81', Casasola T. ↓, D'Ausilio M. ↑,
84', Awua T. ↓, Visconti E. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Di Gennaro M. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 0, Caturano S. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catania won 3.

Catania is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cavese's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Catania may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Catania is the clear favorite.

We predict that Catania will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Catania won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:4. (average 2:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Catania won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.8:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Catania	8	4	1	3	14:10	4	13
11	Cavese	8	3	2	3	14:14	0	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
04.01.26	Foggia - Catania	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Catania - Atalanta U23	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Potenza - Catania	1:1 ✺
05.12.25	Catania - Crotone	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Picerno - Catania	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWTWW
- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
03.01.26	Cavese - Sorrento	1:0 ✺
19.12.25	Nuova Cosenza - Cavese	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Cavese - Siracusa	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Cavese - Benevento	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Casertana - Cavese	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
30.08.25	Cavese - Catania	0:1
12.04.25	Cavese - Catania	0:1
30.11.24	Catania - Cavese	1:1
27.03.21	Cavese - Catania	0:2
06.12.20	Catania - Cavese	1:1
09.02.20	Cavese - Catania	0:1
25.09.19	Catania - Cavese	4:0

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