Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 15

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Simonetta Lamberti (Cava de' Tirreni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 255


	Cavese		Taranto

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.5	6
	1.55	3.65	6.2
	1.55	3.41	7.06
	1.61	3.49	6.37	Watch
	1.5	3.5	6.5
	1.49	3.64	6.51	Watch
	1.55	3.65	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.5)	3.55 ↓ (3.65)	6.41 ↓ (6.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cavese
59.8%

Draw
25.9%

Taranto
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

25.2%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

24.3%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cavese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Taranto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taranto than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Cavese - Taranto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Boffelli V. (G) 23. Saio P. 25. Peretti M. 27. Loreto C. 34. Rizzo A. 8. Konate A. 16. Pezzella S. 3. Vitale G. 11. Maffei M. 24. Vigliotti G. 29. Diop A.	1. Del Favero M. (G) 6. Shiba C. 4. de Santis I. 14. Verde F. 72. Mastromonaco G. 21. Matera A. (C) 8. Fiorani M. 24. Speranza M. 3. Contessa S. 99. Battimelli G. 32. Giovinco G.
Substitutes
77. Badje I. 2. Barba B. 99. Barone M. 32. Citarella F. 22. Di Somma G. (G) 21. Fornito G. 1. Lamberti D. (G) 28. Marchisano M. 17. Marranzino P. 30. Quattrocchi J. 7. Sorrentino D. 73. Tropea L.	10. Fabbro M. 80. Fiorentino G. 27. Garau O. 20. Guarracino M. 39. Iervolino A. 5. Marong B. 94. Meli G. (G) 13. Papazov T. 44. Picardi M. 17. Sacco F. 18. Schirru G. 33. Vaughn C. 77. Zerbo P. 11. Zigoni G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Loreto C. ⚽,
32', Pezzella S. 🟨,
36', Mastromonaco G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Diop A. 🟨,
55', Battimelli G. ↓, Zigoni G. ↑,
55', Giovinco G. ↓, Fabbro M. ↑,
59', 2 - 0, Vitale G. ⚽,
60', de Santis I. 🟨,
63', Diop A. ↓, Badje I. ↑,
67', Pezzella S. ↓, Citarella F. ↑,
68', Konate A. ↓, Fornito G. ↑,
72', Speranza M. ↓, Guarracino M. ↑,
73', Contessa S. 🟨,
81', Matera A. ↓, Iervolino A. ↑,
86', Vitale G. ↓, Marranzino P. ↑,
86', Vigliotti G. ↓, Sorrentino D. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Sorrentino D. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Taranto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cavese is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cavese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Cavese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
09.11.24	Trapani - Cavese	1:0 ✺
04.11.24	Cavese - Foggia	2:1 ✺
31.10.24	ACR Messina - Cavese	1:3 ✺
26.10.24	Cavese - Potenza	0:0 ✺
21.10.24	Casertana - Cavese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWTL
- Taranto FC
Italian Serie C Group C
11.11.24	Taranto - Audace Cerignola	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Avellino - Taranto	0:1 ✺
31.10.24	Potenza - Taranto	5:0 ✺
27.10.24	Taranto - Turris	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Crotone - Taranto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.1 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Play Offs
20.05.18	Cavese - Taranto	3:1
Italian Serie D - Group H
08.04.18	Taranto - Cavese	2:1
19.11.17	Cavese - Taranto	1:0

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