Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 12

Date: 31 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadio San Filippo (Messina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 255


	ACR Messina		Cavese

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.87	2.45
	2.75	2.9	2.7
	2.84	2.83	2.74
	2.85	2.85	2.75	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.45
	2.66	2.98	2.51	Watch
	2.75	2.9	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (2.95)	2.89 ↑ (2.77)	2.61 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ACR Messina
33.2%

Draw
31.7%

Cavese
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

33.3%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

30.5%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ACR Messina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Cavese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

ACR Messina - Cavese Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. ACR Messina will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cavese will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Krapikas T. (G) 7. Lia D. 98. Rizzo F. 6. Manetta M. (C) 77. Morleo U. 31. Anzelmo D. 8. Frisenna G. 15. Marino A. 28. Pedicillo L. 18. Luciani P. 11. Petrungaro L.	12. Boffelli V. (G) 23. Saio P. 25. Peretti M. 27. Loreto C. 34. Rizzo A. 8. Konate A. 16. Pezzella S. 3. Vitale G. 11. Maffei M. 10. Fella G. 20. Diop A.
Substitutes
25. Adragna G. 9. Anatriello G. 1. Curtosi F. (G) 22. Di Bella A. (G) 29. Di Palma M. 4. Garofalo V. 5. Mame Ass N. 27. Mameli B. 10. Mamona B. 24. Ortisi P. 17. Re A. 21. Salvo G.	2. Barba B. 99. Barone M. 32. Citarella F. 19. Diarrassouba A. 22. Di Somma G. (G) 21. Fornito G. 1. Lamberti D. (G) 28. Marchisano M. 17. Marranzino P. 30. Quattrocchi J. 73. Tropea L. 24. Vigliotti G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Petrungaro L. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Diop A. ⚽,
45', Marino A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', Rizzo F. 🟨,
57', Luciani P. ↓, Anatriello G. ↑,
57', Pedicillo L. ↓, Garofalo V. ↑,
57', Rizzo F. ↓, Re A. ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Fella G. ⚽,
64', Diop A. ↓, Vigliotti G. ↑,
65', 1 - 3, Vigliotti G. ⚽,
69', Barba B. 🟨,
74', Pezzella S. ↓, Fornito G. ↑,
74', Fella G. ↓, Diarrassouba A. ↑,
77', Marino A. 🟥,
78', Frisenna G. 🟨,
87', Lia D. ↓, Salvo G. ↑,
87', Konate A. ↓, Citarella F. ↑,
90', 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 15).

ACR Messina is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cavese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACR Messina
Italian Serie C Group C
27.10.24	Avellino - ACR Messina	6:0 ✺
20.10.24	ACR Messina - Monopoli	0:0 ✺
11.10.24	Trapani - ACR Messina	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	ACR Messina - Benevento	0:0 ✺
30.09.24	Picerno - ACR Messina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTTTL
- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
26.10.24	Cavese - Potenza	0:0 ✺
21.10.24	Casertana - Cavese	1:0 ✺
11.10.24	Cavese - Turris	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Picerno - Cavese	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Cavese - Latina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLLTW

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