Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 10

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ezio Scida (Crotone)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 257, Sky Sport Arena
World	FIFA+ app


	Crotone		Taranto

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.4	7
	1.4	4.5	7	Watch
	1.43	4.46	7.11
	1.43	4.37	7.36	Watch
	1.33	4.33	8
	1.36	4.3	7.6	Watch
	1.4	4.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.51)	4.41 ↑ (3.9)	7.3 ↑ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crotone
66.5%

Draw
20.9%

Taranto
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

23.3%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

22.8%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crotone's performance.

Taranto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crotone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taranto than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Crotone - Taranto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. D'Alterio F. (G) 18. Guerini A. 5. Cargnelutti R. 6. Di Pasquale D. 3. Giron M. 16. Gallo A. 38. Schiro T. 41. Silva J. 28. Spina M. 7. Oviszach E. 9. Gomez G. (C)	1. Del Favero M. (G) 6. Shiba C. 4. de Santis I. 14. Verde F. 72. Mastromonaco G. 21. Matera A. (C) 24. Speranza M. 7. Lores I. 3. Contessa S. 11. Zigoni G. 10. Fabbro M.
Substitutes
31. Akpa Akpro J. 30. Aprea M. 13. Armini N. 19. Cantisani R. 99. Chiarella L. 23. Groppelli F. 11. Kolaj A. 77. Kostadinov D. 12. Martino A. P. (G) 33. Rispoli A. 20. Rojas L. 1. Sala A. (G) 8. Stronati R. 93. Tumminello M. 10. Vitale M.	99. Battimelli G. 8. Fiorani M. 27. Garau O. 32. Giovinco G. 20. Guarracino M. 39. Iervolino A. 5. Marong B. 94. Meli G. (G) 13. Papazov T. 17. Sacco F. 18. Schirru G. 33. Vaughn C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Speranza M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', Gallo A. 🟨,
48', 0 - 1, Shiba C. ⚽,
50', de Santis I. 🟨,
56', Verde F. 🟨,
58', Oviszach E. ↓, Tumminello M. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Silva J. ⚽,
64', Lores I. ↓, Schirru G. ↑,
64', Verde F. ↓, Papazov T. ↑,
66', Silva J. 🟨,
72', Zigoni G. ↓, Battimelli G. ↑,
76', Spina M. ↓, Vitale M. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Tumminello M. ⚽,
86', Fabbro M. 🟨,
88', Gomez G. ↓, Chiarella L. ↑,
89', Mastromonaco G. ↓, Sacco F. ↑,
89', Speranza M. ↓, Giovinco G. ↑,
90+3', Chiarella L. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

Crotone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Crotone is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Crotone won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Crotone won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C
12.10.24	Monopoli - Crotone	1:1 ✺
07.10.24	Crotone - Avellino	0:4 ✺
29.09.24	Potenza - Crotone	3:3 ✺
25.09.24	Crotone - Sorrento	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Picerno - Crotone	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLTLL
- Taranto FC
Italian Serie C Group C
13.10.24	Taranto - Picerno	1:0 ✺
04.10.24	Foggia - Taranto	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Taranto - Sorrento	2:2 ✺
24.09.24	Casertana - Taranto	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Taranto - Altamura	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
18.02.24	Crotone - Taranto	2:2
15.10.23	Taranto - Crotone	2:1
02.04.23	Crotone - Taranto	1:0
30.11.22	Taranto - Crotone	2:2

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