Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 14

Date: 11 November 2024, Monday

Location: Stadio Comunale Erasmo Iacovone (Taranto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Max


	Taranto		Audace Cerignola

	1	X	2
	5	3.4	1.6
	5.5	3.5	1.63
	7.01	3.35	1.64
	5.89	3.17	1.73	Watch
	5.5	3.4	1.57
	5.58	3.48	1.58	Watch
	5.5	3.5	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.71 ↓ (6.27)	3.4 ↓ (3.52)	1.63 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taranto
16.1%

Draw
27.1%

Audace Cerignola
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

26%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

26.2%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taranto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Audace Cerignola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taranto than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	50%	37.5%

Taranto - Audace Cerignola Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Taranto will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Audace Cerignola will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Del Favero M. (G) 6. Shiba C. 4. de Santis I. (C) 13. Papazov T. 72. Mastromonaco G. 24. Speranza M. 8. Fiorani M. 18. Schirru G. 3. Contessa S. 32. Giovinco G. 99. Battimelli G.	12. Saracco U. (G) 6. Visentin S. 55. Martinelli L. 19. Velasquez S. 13. Bianchini G. 14. Paolucci L. 10. Ruggiero Z. 8. Tascone M. 3. Russo L. 9. Salvemini F. 11. Parigini V.
Substitutes
10. Fabbro M. 80. Fiorentino G. 27. Garau O. 20. Guarracino M. 39. Iervolino A. 5. Marong B. 21. Matera A. 94. Meli G. (G) 44. Picardi M. 17. Sacco F. 33. Vaughn C. 77. Zerbo P. 11. Zigoni G.	24. Carnevale A. 80. Di Dio F. 18. Faggioli A. 22. Fares G. (G) 37. Gagliano L. 1. Greco S. (G) 30. Iurilli N. 17. Jallow S. 23. Lorusso F. 20. Miguel Angel 72. Pio Carrozza G. 25. Romano R. 21. Tentardini A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Mastromonaco G. 🟨,
62', Schirru G. ↓, Matera A. ↑,
62', Giovinco G. ↓, Fabbro M. ↑,
66', Bianchini G. 🟨,
66', Ruggiero Z. ↓, Miguel Angel ↑,
66', Parigini V. ↓, Jallow S. ↑,
71', Battimelli G. ↓, Zigoni G. ↑,
76', Paolucci L. ↓, Tentardini A. ↑,
79', Speranza M. ↓, Iervolino A. ↑,
84', Del Favero M. 🟨,
87', Miguel Angel ↓, Pio Carrozza G. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Fabbro M. ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', Fabbro M. 🟨,
90+3', Martinelli L. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Taranto won 1.

Recent matches Taranto is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Audace Cerignola is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Audace Cerignola is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Taranto won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:14 (average 1.1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Taranto won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:6 (average 1.7:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taranto FC
Italian Serie C Group C
03.11.24	Avellino - Taranto	0:1 ✺
31.10.24	Potenza - Taranto	5:0 ✺
27.10.24	Taranto - Turris	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Crotone - Taranto	2:1 ✺
13.10.24	Taranto - Picerno	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.1 WLTLW
- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie C Group C
03.11.24	Audace Cerignola - Crotone	1:1 ✺
31.10.24	Foggia - Audace Cerignola	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Audace Cerignola - Picerno	2:1 ✺
20.10.24	Trapani - Audace Cerignola	5:1 ✺
11.10.24	Audace Cerignola - Sorrento	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
11.02.24	Audace Cerignola - Taranto	0:0
02.10.23	Taranto - Audace Cerignola	0:0
19.02.23	Taranto - Audace Cerignola	0:0
18.10.22	Audace Cerignola - Taranto	0:0
Italian Serie D - Group H
06.06.21	Taranto - Audace Cerignola	4:2
07.02.21	Audace Cerignola - Taranto	0:0
15.12.19	Taranto - Audace Cerignola	2:2

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