Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 12

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Domingão (Horizonte)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping


	Floresta		Barra Santa Catarina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.90	3.10
	2.14	2.80	3.50	Watch
	2.36	2.87	3.34
	2.24	2.87	3.65	Watch
	2.40	2.55	3.50
	2.18	3.02	3.21	Watch
	2.21	2.75	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.48)	2.82 ↑ (2.75)	3.36 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Floresta
40.7%

Draw
32.3%

Barra Santa Catarina
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

33.7%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

31.5%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floresta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Barra Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Floresta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Floresta - Barra Santa Catarina Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Floresta will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Barra will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dheimison (C) 3. Afonso 31. Buga 29. Caique 15. Eliandro 13. Garraty 18. Joao Celeri 4. Joao Victor 21. Matheus Martins 17. Nonato 14. Valdo	1. Ewerton (G) 11. Cleo Silva 6. Da Rocha 4. Everton Alemao 2. Fabio 3. Jean Pierre (C) 7. Matheus Barbosa 8. Tete 5. Vava Franca 9. Vinicius Popo 10. Warley Jr
Substitutes
2. Cedric 8. Danrley 6. Diego Matos 25. Diogo Mourao 30. Eduardo 23. Islan 1. Jeferson Souza (G) 5. Jhony Douglas 10. Matheusinho 11. Rafinha 26. Thailor 22. Tiepo (G)	16. Elvinho 12. Fabian Volpi (G) 13. Joao Vinicius 17. Matheuzinho 15. Natan Costa 18. Nicolas 14. Pablo Gabriel 20. Renan Bernabe 19. Saymon
Coaches
Leston Junior	Franco B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Garraty ⚽,
36', Matheus Barbosa ↓, Elvinho ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
83', 2 - 0, Islan ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 1, Everton Alemao ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 17).

Floresta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Barra has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Floresta will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Barra FC: 2.7%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie C
21.06.26	Brusque - Floresta	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Floresta - Figueirense	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Floresta - Confiança	1:0 ✺
25.05.26	Paysandu - Floresta	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Floresta - Amazonas	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLW
- Barra Santa Catarina
Brazilian Serie C
21.06.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Amazonas	1:1 ✺
15.06.26	Ferroviária - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
01.06.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Brusque	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Guarani	0:2 ✺
17.05.26	Anápolis - Barra Santa Catarina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLTLT

Upcoming Matches