Match Info

BRAZIL: GAUCHO - ROUND 7

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday


	Caxias		Santa Cruz-RS

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	7.5	Watch
	1.47	3.9	6.25
	1.47	4	7	Watch
	1.46	3.85	6.1
	1.48	3.86	6.59
	1.4	3.8	7
	1.54	3.9	7.69	Watch
	1.46	3.8	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.78)	3.86 ↑ (3.36)	6.84 ↑ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caxias
62.6%

Draw
23.9%

Santa Cruz-RS
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

27.4%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

23.9%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caxias's performance.

Santa Cruz-RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Cruz-RS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caxias that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz-RS than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz-RS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Caxias - Santa Cruz RS Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Caxias will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Victor Golas (G) 3. Alisson 4. Cezar Henrique 10. David Lustosa 6. Dudu Mandai (C) 5. Elyeser 8. Emerson Martins 7. Gabriel Silva 18. Joel Vinicius 2. Matheus Rocha 11. Ze Andrade	1. Marcelo Pitol (C) 5. Amaral 9. Hugo Almeida 6. Jefferson 8. Leylon 2. Marcos Martins 10. Mineiro R. 11. Pablo Bueno 7. Rickelmy 4. Tairone 3. Thiago Sales
Substitutes
16. Barba 13. Denilson 12. Fabian Volpi (G) 17. Geilson 14. Jean Pierre 22. Lugano N. 15. Pedro Cuiaba 20. Tomas Bastos 19. Vinicius 21. Vitor Feijao 23. Ze Carlos (G)	13. Alagoano A. 12. Alexandre Villa (G) 20. Eduardo Junior 16. Jean Lucca 14. Kevlin 18. Leo Aquino 19. Marcio Jonatan 17. Netto 15. Paul

Preview

The competitors look crappy now.

Caxias could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Caxias is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
08.02.24	Guarany de Bagé - Caxias	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Internacional RS - Caxias	2:0 ✺
31.01.24	Caxias - Brasil de Pelotas	1:2 ✺
27.01.24	Caxias - São Luiz	2:2 ✺
24.01.24	Ypiranga - Caxias	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLTT
- Santa Cruz-RS
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
07.02.24	Santa Cruz-RS - Internacional RS	0:2 ✺
04.02.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Santa Cruz-RS	2:0 ✺
01.02.24	Santa Cruz-RS - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Santa Cruz-RS - Guarany de Bagé	1:1 ✺
23.01.24	Novo Hamburgo - Santa Cruz-RS	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTTL

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