Match Info

Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 3

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Francisco Stedile (Caxias do Sul)


	Caxias		Juventude

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.2	3.05	3.47
	2.38	2.93	3.02	Watch
	2	3	3.4
	2.16	2.95	3.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.41)	2.98 ↑ (2.93)	3.37 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caxias
42%

Draw
30.8%

Juventude
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

30.7%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

29.1%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caxias that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventude could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Caxias - Juventude Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Caxias will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Caxias (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Busatto G. (G) 5. Breno Santos 7. Calyson 2. Felipe Albuquerque 11. Gaspar 3. Ianson 10. Joao Lucas 8. Matheus Nunes 4. Mauricio Ribeiro (C) 6. Roberto 9. Salatiel	12. Pedro Rocha (G) 25. Alisson Safira 20. Allanzinho 29. Junior C. 15. Leo Indio 26. Ly I. 14. Mateus Schaffer 4. Messias 22. Nathan Santos 27. Ray Breno 3. Titi
Substitutes
18. Felipe Rangel 15. Grigor 19. Jhonatan Ribeiro 23. Luis Fernando 17. Luis Miguel 14. Mancha 12. Marcelo (G) 22. Marcelo Freitas 21. Matheus Anjos 16. Victor Sa 20. Vitor Gabriel 13. Windson	43. Bernardo Toffolo 88. Davi Goes 11. Fabio Lima 79. Joao Scatolin 52. Joao Trevisol 53. Kaynan 57. Luiz Eduardo 77. Luiz Henrique 10. MP 2. Rai Ramos 34. Rodrigo Sam 21. Ruan Carneiro (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Gaspar ⚽,
33', Alisson Safira 🟨,
44', Calyson 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Breno Santos ↓, Grigor ↑,
57', Joao Lucas ↓, Matheus Anjos ↑,
60', Messias ↓, Rodrigo Sam ↑,
60', Ray Breno ↓, Fabio Lima ↑,
61', Rodrigo Sam 🟨,
65', Leo Indio 🟨,
69', Grigor 🟨,
70', Ly I. ↓, Davi Goes ↑,
70', Nathan Santos ↓, MP ↑,
70', Roberto ↓, Victor Sa ↑,
70', Calyson ↓, Jhonatan Ribeiro ↑,
72', Davi Goes 🟨,
74', Salatiel 🟨,
79', Gaspar ↓, Marcelo Freitas ↑,
81', Allanzinho ↓, Joao Scatolin ↑,
88', Fabio Lima 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caxias won 0.

Caxias has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Juventude has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Caxias may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Caxias won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Caxias won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Juventude - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.08%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Serie C
04.04.26	Brusque - Caxias	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
29.03.26	América Mineiro - Caxias	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Caxias - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Caxias - Guarany de Bagé	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
21.02.26	Caxias - São Luiz	0:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTLL
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie B
04.04.26	Fortaleza - Juventude	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Juventude - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
28.03.26	Juventude - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:2 ✺
25.03.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Juventude	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
22.03.26	Avaí - Juventude	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
22.01.26	Juventude - Caxias	1:0
01.02.25	Caxias - Juventude	0:2
19.02.24	Juventude - Caxias	1:1
27.02.23	Caxias - Juventude	2:2
26.02.22	Juventude - Caxias	0:0
05.04.21	Caxias - Juventude	0:0
23.07.20	Juventude - Caxias	2:0

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