The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cayón 26.9%
Draw 29.4%
Izarra 43.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.9%
26.8%
51.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18%
22%
62.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cayón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Izarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Izarra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cayón that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Izarra than the current prediction. (+18.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Izarra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cayón - Izarra Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
Cayón is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Izarra is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Cayón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.