The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ardoi 23.2%
Draw 28.3%
Izarra 48.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.4%
26.6%
51%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.8%
25.9%
52.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ardoi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Izarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ardoi than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Izarra than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Ardoi - Izarra Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Madariaga J. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Gimenez R. ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, Lizarraga I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 2 - 2, Hoyos J. ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: )).
Ardoi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Izarra is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Ardoi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Izarra is considered a favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ardoi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
Including home match between the teams, Ardoi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
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