The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cañuelas 55%
Draw 27.9%
Lugano 17%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.9%
29.5%
25.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.5%
27.3%
23.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cañuelas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cañuelas's performance.
Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cañuelas than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cañuelas that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cañuelas - Lugano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Ibanez E. 🟥,
66', 1 - 0, Coyette M. ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 1-0.
Cañuelas is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Lugano is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Cañuelas for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Cañuelas in today's match, at odds of 1.75.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Cañuelas has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:1 (averaging 2:0.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cañuelas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals.
Last Results with these Odds
Lugano - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 25.63%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.
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