Match Info

Primera C - Qualification - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Lugano		Cañuelas

	1	X	2
	2.92	2.7	2.56
	3.03	2.75	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.96)	2.73 ↑ (2.71)	2.59 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugano
30.9%

Draw
33.7%

Cañuelas
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

33.7%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

33.1%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Lugano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Cañuelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cañuelas than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Lugano - Cañuelas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
70', 0 - 1, Heidenreich J. ⚽,
80', 0 - 2, Gimenez M. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Lugano is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cañuelas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Lugano
Argentinian Primera C
16.09.25	Lugano - Justo José de Urquiza	2:2 ✺
05.09.25	El Porvenir - Lugano	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Lugano - Defensores de Cambaceres	2:2 ✺
24.08.25	Leandro N. Alem - Lugano	0:0 ✺
17.08.25	Lugano - Mercedes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLTTL
- Cañuelas FC
Argentinian Primera C
15.09.25	Cañuelas - Argentino de Rosario	4:0 ✺
09.09.25	Deportivo Camioneros - Cañuelas	4:1 ✺
30.08.25	Cañuelas - Deportivo Yupanqui	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Cañuelas	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Cañuelas - Centro Español	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLTWL

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