The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lugano 26%
Draw 36.9%
Cañuelas 37.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.1%
31%
36.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32%
31%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugano's form might have worsened.
Cañuelas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cañuelas than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Lugano - Cañuelas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Curbelo B. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
First leg.
Lugano is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Cañuelas is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Lugano could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Cañuelas is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Lugano has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:5 (averaging 0.5:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lugano against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.
Last Results with these Odds
Cañuelas - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 36.83%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.
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