The best margin for this event is 12.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mercedes 34.5%
Draw 31.7%
Lugano 33.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.4%
30%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.3%
30.1%
33.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Mercedes - Lugano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 1.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Mercedes may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Mercedes has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:14 (averaging 0.9:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mercedes against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:6 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Lugano - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 33.63%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.