Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 6

Date: 13 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza)

Referee: Lima L. (Bra)


	Ceará		Tombense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.3	5
	1.75	3.35	4.6	Watch
	1.72	3.63	5.59
	1.7	3.4	5
	1.73	3.62	4.95	Watch
	1.73	3.45	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.81)	3.46 ↑ (3.28)	4.97 ↑ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceará
54.3%

Draw
27%

Tombense
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

28.2%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

27.6%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Ceará - Tombense Predictions

Users Predictions: Ceará will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Tombense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Tombense have a series of home games.

In this match Ceará is a favorite.

There will not play in Ceará: Lucas Ribeiro (Injury) Michel Macedo (Injury) Willian Formiga (Injury)

There will not play in Tombense: Daniel Amorim (Injury) Fernandao (Injury) Keke (Injury) Kleiton (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ceará won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Ceará won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie B
10.05.23	Ceará - Vitória Salvador	0:2 ✺
07.05.23	Ponte Preta - Ceará	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
03.05.23	Sport Recife - Ceará	1:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie B
30.04.23	ABC - Ceará	1:2 ✺
22.04.23	Ceará - Guarani	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LTWWL
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie B
10.05.23	Sport Recife - Tombense	3:2 ✺
06.05.23	Tombense - Avaí	0:1 ✺
29.04.23	Tombense - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.04.23	Tombense - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
22.04.23	Tombense - Ituano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
11.05.22	Ceará - Tombense	2:0
20.04.22	Tombense - Ceará	0:2

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